Laval vs Red Star — Ligue 2 result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 4 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Laval
30%
Draw
29%
RED Star FC 93
41%
pick · result
Final score
1–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a RED Star FC 93 win 40.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a RED Star FC 93 win. Expected goals 1.11–1.29 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.8%), 0–1 (11.2%), 0–0 (10.0%). It finished 1–2.
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Laval
| 8 Aug | A | vs Rodez | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Nantes | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Metz | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Grenoble | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Red Star | 1–2 | L |
Red Star
| 8 Aug | A | vs Nantes | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Sochaux | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Boulogne | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Reims | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Laval | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Laval (Home · 6 matches) | Red Star (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Laval's home record; away stats use Red Star's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.