Grenoble vs Annecy — Ligue 2 result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 4 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Grenoble
30%
Draw
30%
Annecy
40%
pick · result
Final score
1–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Annecy win 40.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Annecy win. Expected goals 1.08–1.23 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.3%), 0–1 (12.2%), 0–0 (11.0%). It finished 1–2.
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Grenoble
| 8 Aug | A | vs Dunkerque | 2–4 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Metz | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs St Etienne | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Laval | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Annecy | 1–2 | L |
Annecy
| 8 Aug | A | vs Pau FC | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Rodez | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Reims | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Metz | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Grenoble | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Grenoble (Home · 5 matches) | Annecy (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.20 | 2.67 |
Home stats use Grenoble's home record; away stats use Annecy's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.