Clermont vs Boulogne — Ligue 2 result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 11 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 14.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Clermont
38%
top pick
Draw
31%
result
Boulogne
30%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 31.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Clermont win. Expected goals 1.19–1.04 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.5%), 0–0 (11.9%), 1–0 (11.9%). It finished 0–0 — one of them.
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Clermont
| 8 Aug | H | vs Reims | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Aug | A | vs St Etienne | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | vs Dijon | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Sochaux | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Dunkerque | 1–1 | D |
Boulogne
| 8 Aug | H | vs Nancy | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Aug | A | vs Guingamp | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | vs Red Star | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Montpellier | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Dijon | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Clermont (Home · 6 matches) | Boulogne (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 16.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.50 | 1.00 |
Home stats use Clermont's home record; away stats use Boulogne's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.