Boulogne vs Annecy — Ligue 2 forecast, Friday, 6 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Boulogne
38%
Draw
32%
Annecy
31%
Expected goals
1.23–1.10
Boulogne · Annecy
Boulogne win 38% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (15.0%), 0–0 (11.2%), 1–0 (10.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 49% of simulations.
Those three cover 37% of outcomes; the other 63% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Boulogne score at least twice in 35%; Annecy in 30%.
Scoreline distribution
Annecy goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2 | 9.1 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 15.0 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.2 | 8.1 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Boulogne goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market reference | 38% | 32% | 31% |
| Metis Forecast | 38% | 32% | 31% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Boulogne | 2.54 |
| Draw | 2.99 |
| Annecy | 3.08 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 01 Nov · 04:37 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Boulogne
| 8 Aug | H | vs Nancy | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Aug | A | vs Guingamp | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | vs Red Star | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Montpellier | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Dijon | 1–1 | D |
Annecy
| 8 Aug | A | vs Pau FC | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Rodez | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Reims | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Metz | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Grenoble | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Boulogne (Home · 5 matches) | Annecy (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 20.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 1.80 | 2.67 |
Home stats use Boulogne's home record; away stats use Annecy's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.