Monaco vs Toulouse — Ligue 1 forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
Ligue 1·Saturday, 10 October 2026·18:45
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Monaco | 1.68 |
| Draw | 4.17 |
| Toulouse | 4.58 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 27 Sep · 03:48 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Monaco
| 23 Aug | A | vs Le Havre | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Marseille | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Paris SG | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Strasbourg | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sept | H | vs Lens | 2–1 | W |
Toulouse
| 22 Aug | H | vs Lyon | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Brest | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Sept | H | vs Lille | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Lorient | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Le Havre | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Monaco (Home · 2 matches) | Toulouse (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 4.00 |
Home stats use Monaco's home record; away stats use Toulouse's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.