Monaco vs Toulouse — Ligue 1 result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
Ligue 1·Saturday, 10 October 2026
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Monaco
| 4 Sept | A | vs Paris Saint-Germain | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Le Havre | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Marseille | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Paris SG | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Strasbourg | 1–1 | D |
Toulouse
| 22 Aug | H | vs Lyon | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Brest | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Sept | H | vs Lille | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Lorient | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Le Havre | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Monaco (Home · 4 matches) | Toulouse (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.75 | 3.40 |
Home stats use Monaco's home record; away stats use Toulouse's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.