Marseille vs Toulouse — Ligue 1 forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Ligue 1·Sunday, 1 November 2026·19:45
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.83 |
| Draw | 3.98 |
| Toulouse | 3.91 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Oct · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Marseille
| 21 Aug | H | vs Strasbourg | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Monaco | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Paris FC | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Sept | A | vs Rennes | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Paris SG | 1–2 | L |
Toulouse
| 22 Aug | H | vs Lyon | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Brest | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Sept | H | vs Lille | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Lorient | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Le Havre | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Marseille (Home · 3 matches) | Toulouse (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 3.75 |
Home stats use Marseille's home record; away stats use Toulouse's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.