Lens vs Toulouse — Ligue 1 forecast, Saturday, 21 November 2026
Ligue 1·Saturday, 21 November 2026·19:45
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Lens | 1.77 |
| Draw | 4.16 |
| Toulouse | 4.08 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 08 Nov · 05:14 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Lens
| 22 Aug | H | vs Auxerre | 5–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Strasbourg | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Lorient | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Le Mans | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sept | A | vs Monaco | 1–2 | L |
Toulouse
| 22 Aug | H | vs Lyon | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Brest | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Sept | H | vs Lille | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Lorient | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Le Havre | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Lens (Home · 4 matches) | Toulouse (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.50 | 3.40 |
Home stats use Lens's home record; away stats use Toulouse's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.