Lens vs Marseille — Ligue 1 forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Ligue 1·Sunday, 8 November 2026·19:45
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Lens | 2.15 |
| Draw | 3.85 |
| Marseille | 3.07 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Lens
| 22 Aug | H | vs Auxerre | 5–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Strasbourg | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Lorient | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Le Mans | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sept | A | vs Monaco | 1–2 | L |
Marseille
| 21 Aug | H | vs Strasbourg | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Monaco | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Paris FC | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Sept | A | vs Rennes | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Paris SG | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Lens (Home · 3 matches) | Marseille (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 25.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 25.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.67 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Lens's home record; away stats use Marseille's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.