Le Havre vs Angers — Ligue 1 result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Le Havre
35%
Draw
30%
result
Angers
36%
top pick
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 29.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Angers win. Expected goals 1.28–1.29 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.2%), 0–0 (8.9%), 0–1 (8.8%). It finished 0–0 — one of them.
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Le Havre
| 23 Aug | H | vs Monaco | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Lyon | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Brest | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Angers | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Toulouse | 2–3 | L |
Angers
| 23 Aug | H | vs Lille | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Auxerre | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Rennes | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Le Havre | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Troyes | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Le Havre (Home · 5 matches) | Angers (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.80 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Le Havre's home record; away stats use Angers's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.