Angers vs Rennes — Ligue 1 result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Angers
19%
Draw
24%
Rennes
57%
pick · result
Final score
1–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Rennes win 57.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rennes win. Expected goals 1.03–1.82 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–2 (11.2%), 1–1 (11.2%), 0–1 (10.7%). It finished 1–2 — one of them.
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Angers
| 23 Aug | H | vs Lille | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Auxerre | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Rennes | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Le Havre | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Troyes | 2–0 | W |
Rennes
| 23 Aug | H | vs Paris SG | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Le Mans | 3–2 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Angers | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sept | H | vs Marseille | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Lyon | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Angers (Home · 5 matches) | Rennes (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.80 | 5.25 |
Home stats use Angers's home record; away stats use Rennes's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.