Valladolid vs Cordoba — La Liga 2 result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 27 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 3.7 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Valladolid
40%
pick · result
Draw
28%
Cordoba
32%
Final score
3–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Valladolid win 40.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Valladolid win. Expected goals 1.32–1.18 against 3–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.2%), 1–0 (10.3%), 0–0 (8.9%). It finished 3–1.
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Valladolid
| 15 Aug | A | vs Mallorca | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Eibar | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Cadiz | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Andorra | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Oviedo | 0–3 | L |
Cordoba
| 16 Aug | A | vs Burgos | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | vs Girona | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Granada | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Sabadell | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Almeria | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Valladolid (Home · 6 matches) | Cordoba (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 83.3% | 85.7% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 4.17 | 3.57 |
Home stats use Valladolid's home record; away stats use Cordoba's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.