Las Palmas vs Sociedad B — La Liga 2 forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Las Palmas
52%
Draw
26%
Sociedad B
22%
Expected goals
1.65–0.99
Las Palmas · Sociedad B
Las Palmas win 52% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.6%), 1–0 (10.8%), 2–0 (9.7%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 33% of outcomes; the other 67% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Las Palmas win is 1–0 (10.8%).
Las Palmas score at least twice in 49%; Sociedad B in 26%.
Scoreline distribution
Sociedad B goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 12.6 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Las Palmas goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.67 |
| Sociedad B | 3.59 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Oct · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Las Palmas
| 16 Aug | H | vs Albacete | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Ceuta | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Girona | 2–5 | L |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Leganes | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Cadiz | 1–0 | W |
Sociedad B
| 14 Aug | H | vs Castellon | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Albacete | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Burgos | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Andorra | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Las Palmas (Home · 5 matches) | Sociedad B (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.60 | 4.00 |
Home stats use Las Palmas's home record; away stats use Sociedad B's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.