Granada vs Andorra — La Liga 2 result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 26 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.0 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Granada
45%
top pick
Draw
28%
Andorra
26%
result
Final score
2–3
Top pick missed
Metis gave an Andorra win 26.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Granada win. Expected goals 1.40–1.06 against 2–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.5%), 1–0 (12.0%), 2–1 (9.8%). It finished 2–3.
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Granada
| 15 Aug | A | vs Oviedo | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Mallorca | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Cordoba | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Eibar | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Albacete | 1–1 | D |
Andorra
| 15 Aug | H | vs Ceuta | 5–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Celta B | 2–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Eibar | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Valladolid | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Sociedad B | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Granada (Home · 5 matches) | Andorra (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.80 | 2.80 |
Home stats use Granada's home record; away stats use Andorra's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.