Eibar vs Granada — La Liga 2 result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 8.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Eibar
45%
pick · result
Draw
28%
Granada
27%
Final score
3–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Eibar win 45.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Eibar win. Expected goals 1.47–1.07 against 3–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.4%), 1–0 (10.6%), 2–1 (9.1%). It finished 3–0.
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Eibar
| 16 Aug | H | vs Tenerife | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Valladolid | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Andorra | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Granada | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Celta B | 4–0 | W |
Granada
| 15 Aug | A | vs Oviedo | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Mallorca | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Cordoba | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Eibar | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Albacete | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Eibar (Home · 6 matches) | Granada (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 42.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 42.9% |
| Avg goals | 2.83 | 2.86 |
Home stats use Eibar's home record; away stats use Granada's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.