🇪🇸 La Liga 2·Sunday, 30 August 2026·19:30
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Draw | 3.24 | 3.24 |
| Granada | 5.02 | 5.02 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketCordoba
53%
Draw
29%
Granada
18%
Cordoba 1.54 xGexpected goals0.93 xG Granada
Cordoba win 53% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 51% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.9%).
Cordoba score at least twice in 46%; Granada in 23%.
1–1 13.9%1–0 13.5%2–1 11.1%2–0 9.9%0–0 9.6%0–1 5.2%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.5 | 13.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.9 | 11.1 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Cordoba goals · columns = Granada goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score51%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals10%
Cordoba clean sheet39%
Granada clean sheet20%
Cordoba score 2+46%
Granada score 2+23%
Cordoba score 3+19%
Model vs market
| Source | Cordoba | Draw | Granada |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 40% | 29% | 30% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Metis Forecast | 53% | 29% | 18% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Cordoba
| 18 Aug | A | vs Sp Gijon | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | H | vs Las Palmas | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Valladolid | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Castellon | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Andorra | 1–3 | L |
Granada
| 16 Aug | H | vs La Coruna | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Eibar | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Mirandes | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Malaga | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Leganes | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 10 May 26 | CordobavsGranada | 1 – 0 |
| 22 Nov 25 | GranadavsCordoba | 1 – 1 |
Cordoba: 1W 1D 0L in last 2
Model context
| Stat | Cordoba (Home) | Granada (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 61.9% | 47.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| Clean sheet | 28.6% | 28.6% |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | 2.52 |
Home stats use Cordoba's home record; away stats use Granada's away record this season.