Cordoba vs Eibar — La Liga 2 forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Cordoba
44%
Draw
28%
Eibar
27%
Expected goals
1.41–1.13
Cordoba · Eibar
Cordoba win 44% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.6%), 1–0 (11.1%), 2–1 (9.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Cordoba win is 1–0 (11.1%).
Cordoba score at least twice in 42%; Eibar in 31%.
Scoreline distribution
Eibar goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8 | 7.0 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.1 | 13.6 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Cordoba goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Market reference | 44% | 28% | 27% |
| Metis Forecast | 44% | 28% | 27% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Cordoba | 2.18 |
| Draw | 3.32 |
| Eibar | 3.44 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Oct · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Cordoba
| 16 Aug | A | vs Burgos | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | vs Girona | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Granada | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Sabadell | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Almeria | 0–2 | L |
Eibar
| 16 Aug | H | vs Tenerife | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Valladolid | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Andorra | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Granada | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Celta B | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Cordoba (Home · 4 matches) | Eibar (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.50 | 3.20 |
Home stats use Cordoba's home record; away stats use Eibar's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.