🇪🇸 La Liga 2·Sunday, 30 August 2026·17:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyCadiz
38%
Draw
30%
Valladolid
33%
Cadiz 1.26 xGexpected goals1.16 xG Valladolid
Cadiz win 38% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (14.0%).
Cadiz score at least twice in 36%; Valladolid in 32%.
1–1 14.0%1–0 10.2%0–0 9.9%0–1 9.3%2–1 8.2%1–2 7.5%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.9 | 9.3 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.2 | 14.0 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 8.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Cadiz goals · columns = Valladolid goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score50%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Over 4.5 goals10%
Cadiz clean sheet31%
Valladolid clean sheet28%
Cadiz score 2+36%
Valladolid score 2+32%
Cadiz score 3+13%
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Cadiz
| 17 Aug | H | vs Mirandes | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Leganes | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Albacete | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Sociedad B | 3–3 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Eibar | 1–0 | W |
Valladolid
| 15 Aug | H | vs Ceuta | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Castellon | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Cordoba | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Zaragoza | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Almeria | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 31 Mar 26 | ValladolidvsCadiz | 3 – 0 |
| 9 Nov 25 | CadizvsValladolid | 0 – 0 |
Cadiz: 0W 1D 1L in last 2
Model context
| Stat | Cadiz (Home) | Valladolid (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 42.9% | 47.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 19.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.33 | 2.71 |
Home stats use Cadiz's home record; away stats use Valladolid's away record this season.