🇪🇸 La Liga 2·Monday, 31 August 2026·17:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyBurgos
50%
Draw
28%
Sociedad B
22%
Burgos 1.48 xGexpected goals0.90 xG Sociedad B
Burgos win 50% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 47% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.3%).
Burgos score at least twice in 43%; Sociedad B in 23%.
1–1 13.3%1–0 12.7%0–0 10.3%2–0 10.1%2–1 9.1%0–1 7.4%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.3 | 7.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.7 | 13.3 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Burgos goals · columns = Sociedad B goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score47%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals9%
Burgos clean sheet41%
Sociedad B clean sheet23%
Burgos score 2+43%
Sociedad B score 2+23%
Burgos score 3+19%
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Recent form
Burgos
| 15 Aug | H | vs Cultural Leonesa | 5–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs La Coruna | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Andorra | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Las Palmas | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Sp Gijon | 3–2 | W |
Sociedad B
| 17 Aug | H | vs Zaragoza | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Malaga | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Almeria | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Cadiz | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Las Palmas | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 3 May 26 | Sociedad BvsBurgos | 0 – 0 |
| 25 Oct 25 | BurgosvsSociedad B | 1 – 0 |
Burgos: 1W 1D 0L in last 2
Model context
| Stat | Burgos (Home) | Sociedad B (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 38.1% | 47.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 19.0% | 42.9% |
| Clean sheet | 47.6% | 19.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.76 | 2.71 |
Home stats use Burgos's home record; away stats use Sociedad B's away record this season.