Andorra vs Sociedad B — La Liga 2 result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 3.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Andorra
62%
top pick
Draw
22%
Sociedad B
16%
result
Final score
1–3
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Sociedad B win 16.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Andorra win. Expected goals 1.83–0.85 against 1–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (12.7%), 2–0 (11.8%), 2–1 (10.7%). It finished 1–3.
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Andorra
| 15 Aug | H | vs Ceuta | 5–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Celta B | 2–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Eibar | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Valladolid | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Sociedad B | 1–3 | L |
Sociedad B
| 14 Aug | H | vs Castellon | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Albacete | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Burgos | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Andorra | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Andorra (Home · 6 matches) | Sociedad B (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 83.3% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.50 | 3.50 |
Home stats use Andorra's home record; away stats use Sociedad B's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.