🇪🇸 La Liga 2·Sunday, 30 August 2026·15:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Andorra | 2.14 | 2.14 |
| Draw | 3.16 | 3.16 |
| Eibar | 3.75 | 3.75 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketAndorra
45%
Draw
30%
Eibar
25%
Andorra 1.34 xGexpected goals0.95 xG Eibar
Andorra win 45% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 47% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (14.0%).
Andorra score at least twice in 39%; Eibar in 25%.
1–1 14.0%1–0 12.7%0–0 11.2%2–0 9.1%2–1 8.8%0–1 8.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.7 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Andorra goals · columns = Eibar goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score47%
Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Over 4.5 goals8%
Andorra clean sheet39%
Eibar clean sheet26%
Andorra score 2+39%
Eibar score 2+25%
Andorra score 3+15%
Model vs market
| Source | Andorra | Draw | Eibar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Metis Forecast | 45% | 30% | 25% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Andorra
| 17 Aug | A | vs Las Palmas | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Zaragoza | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Burgos | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Sept | A | vs Eibar | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Cordoba | 3–1 | W |
Eibar
| 16 Aug | A | vs Malaga | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Granada | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Sept | A | vs Huesca | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sept | H | vs Andorra | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Cadiz | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 21 Mar 26 | AndorravsEibar | 0 – 1 |
| 8 Sept 25 | EibarvsAndorra | 2 – 0 |
Andorra: 0W 0D 2L in last 2
Model context
| Stat | Andorra (Home) | Eibar (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 47.6% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 23.8% | 38.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | 1.81 |
Home stats use Andorra's home record; away stats use Eibar's away record this season.