Almeria vs Leganes — La Liga 2 forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
La Liga 2·Sunday, 11 October 2026·14:15
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Almeria | 1.68 |
| Draw | 4.05 |
| Leganes | 4.68 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 05 Oct · 03:54 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Almeria
| 17 Aug | H | vs Eldense | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Tenerife | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Sabadell | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Cadiz | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Cordoba | 2–0 | W |
Leganes
| 16 Aug | A | vs Girona | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Oviedo | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Eldense | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Las Palmas | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Tenerife | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Almeria (Home · 4 matches) | Leganes (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 20.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 20.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 1.80 |
Home stats use Almeria's home record; away stats use Leganes's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.