Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito HollyHock — J1 League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026

J1 League·Saturday, 19 September 2026·10:30

Yokohama F. Marinos

2 – 0

Mito HollyHock

Yokohama F. MarinosExpected goalsMito HollyHock
1.61 xG1.15 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 6.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Yokohama F. Marinos

47%

pick · result

Draw

25%

Mito HollyHock

27%

Final score

2–0

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Yokohama F. Marinos win 47.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Yokohama F. Marinos win. Expected goals 1.61–1.15 against 2–0 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals52%2 scored
Both teams score55%no
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet32%yes
Mito HollyHock clean sheet20%no
Yokohama F. Marinos score 2+48%yes
Mito HollyHock score 2+32%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1760
1X2 Brier score0.4169
Probability on the result47.3%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.1%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–0 (9.3%). It finished 2–0.

Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.

Recent form

Yokohama F. Marinos

19 SeptHvs Mito HollyHock2–0W

Mito HollyHock

19 SeptAvs Yokohama F. Marinos0–2L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.