Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale — J1 League forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
J1 League·Sunday, 1 November 2026·04:00
Yokohama F. Marinos
vs
04:00
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. MarinosExpected goalsKawasaki Frontale
1.48 xG1.42 xG
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Yokohama F. Marinos
38%
Draw
27%
Kawasaki Frontale
35%
Expected goals
1.48–1.42
Yokohama F. Marinos · Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos win 38% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.5%), 2–1 (8.6%), 1–2 (8.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Yokohama F. Marinos score at least twice in 43%; Kawasaki Frontale in 41%.
Scoreline distribution
Kawasaki Frontale goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5 | 6.9 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 12.5 | 8.2 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 6.0 | 8.6 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Yokohama F. Marinos goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Both teams score59%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Over 4.5 goals17%
Team scoring & clean sheets
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet24%
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet23%
Yokohama F. Marinos score 2+43%
Kawasaki Frontale score 2+41%
Yokohama F. Marinos score 3+19%
Kawasaki Frontale score 3+17%
Most likely scores
1–112.5%
2–18.6%
1–28.2%
1–07.2%
0–16.9%
0–06.5%
What changed overnight?
vs previous runYokohama F. Marinos win31% → 38% ▲+6.9pp
Draw25% → 27% ▲+1.7pp
Kawasaki Frontale win44% → 35% ▼-8.7pp
xG 1.32–1.49 → 1.48–1.42
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Recent form
Yokohama F. Marinos
| 19 Sept | H | vs Mito HollyHock | 2–0 | W |
Kawasaki Frontale
| 19 Sept | H | vs Kashima Antlers | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.