Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama — J1 League forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Yokohama F. Marinos
vs
05:00
Fagiano Okayama
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Yokohama F. Marinos
36%
Draw
28%
Fagiano Okayama
36%
Expected goals
1.39–1.30
Yokohama F. Marinos · Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama win 36% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.5%), 1–2 (9.2%), 0–1 (8.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 32% of outcomes; the other 68% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Yokohama F. Marinos score at least twice in 40%; Fagiano Okayama in 38%.
Scoreline distribution
Fagiano Okayama goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0 | 8.9 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 13.5 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Yokohama F. Marinos goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market reference | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Metis Forecast | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Recent form
Yokohama F. Marinos
| 19 Sept | H | vs Mito HollyHock | 2–0 | W |
Fagiano Okayama
| 19 Sept | H | vs Kyoto Sanga | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.