Vissel Kobe vs Urawa Red Diamonds — J1 League forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Vissel Kobe
vs
05:00
Urawa Red Diamonds
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Vissel Kobe
48%
Draw
26%
Urawa Red Diamonds
26%
Expected goals
1.75–1.16
Vissel Kobe · Urawa Red Diamonds
Vissel Kobe win 48% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.3%), 2–1 (8.6%), 2–0 (8.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Vissel Kobe win is 2–1 (8.7%).
Vissel Kobe score at least twice in 51%; Urawa Red Diamonds in 32%.
Scoreline distribution
Urawa Red Diamonds goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.9 | 12.3 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 8.7 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Vissel Kobe goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 55% | 24% | 20% |
| Market reference | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Metis Forecast | 48% | 26% | 26% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Vissel Kobe
| 20 Sept | A | vs Gamba Osaka | 1–0 | W |
Urawa Red Diamonds
| 19 Sept | H | vs Tokyo Verdy | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.