Vissel Kobe vs Urawa — J1 League forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Vissel Kobe
vs
05:00
Urawa
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Vissel Kobe
44%
Draw
27%
Urawa
29%
Expected goals
1.68–1.20
Vissel Kobe · Urawa
Vissel Kobe win 44% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.7%), 1–2 (8.1%), 2–1 (7.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 28% of outcomes; the other 72% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Vissel Kobe win is 2–1 (7.6%).
Vissel Kobe score at least twice in 49%; Urawa in 34%.
Scoreline distribution
Urawa goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 12.7 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Vissel Kobe goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| Market reference | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Metis Forecast | 44% | 27% | 29% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Vissel Kobe
| 20 Sept | A | vs Gamba Osaka | 1–0 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.