Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock — J1 League forecast, Friday, 20 November 2026
Vissel Kobe
vs
10:00
Mito Hollyhock
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Vissel Kobe
68%
Draw
21%
Mito Hollyhock
12%
Expected goals
2.25–0.85
Vissel Kobe · Mito Hollyhock
Vissel Kobe win 68% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11.2%), 1–1 (9.8%), 2–1 (9.4%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Vissel Kobe score at least twice in 66%; Mito Hollyhock in 21%.
Scoreline distribution
Mito Hollyhock goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.2 | 9.4 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Vissel Kobe goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Market reference | 68% | 21% | 12% |
| Metis Forecast | 68% | 21% | 12% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Vissel Kobe
| 20 Sept | A | vs Gamba Osaka | 1–0 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.