Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia — J1 League forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Vissel Kobe
vs
06:00
Machida Zelvia
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Vissel Kobe
39%
Draw
29%
Machida Zelvia
32%
Expected goals
1.47–1.31
Vissel Kobe · Machida Zelvia
Vissel Kobe win 39% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (14.0%), 2–1 (8.4%), 1–0 (7.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Vissel Kobe score at least twice in 43%; Machida Zelvia in 38%.
Scoreline distribution
Machida Zelvia goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.8 | 14.0 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 8.4 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Vissel Kobe goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market reference | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Metis Forecast | 39% | 29% | 32% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Vissel Kobe
| 20 Sept | A | vs Gamba Osaka | 1–0 | W |
Machida Zelvia
| 20 Sept | H | vs Kashiwa Reysol | 2–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.