Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy — J1 League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Urawa Red Diamonds
3 – 1
Tokyo Verdy
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Urawa Red Diamonds
53%
pick · result
Draw
27%
Tokyo Verdy
20%
Final score
3–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Urawa Red Diamonds win 53.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Urawa Red Diamonds win. Expected goals 1.61–0.95 against 3–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.9%), 1–0 (12.3%), 2–1 (10.5%). It finished 3–1.
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Urawa Red Diamonds
| 19 Sept | H | vs Tokyo Verdy | 3–1 | W |
Tokyo Verdy
| 19 Sept | A | vs Urawa Red Diamonds | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.