Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Chiba — J1 League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 – 1
JEF United Chiba
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Shimizu S-Pulse
51%
pick · result
Draw
27%
JEF United Chiba
22%
Final score
2–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Shimizu S-Pulse win 50.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Shimizu S-Pulse win. Expected goals 1.72–1.08 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.7%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–0 (9.3%). It finished 2–1 — one of them.
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Shimizu S-Pulse
| 19 Sept | H | vs JEF United Chiba | 2–1 | W |
JEF United Chiba
| 19 Sept | A | vs Shimizu S-Pulse | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.