Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol — J1 League result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Machida Zelvia
2 – 4
Kashiwa Reysol
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 4.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Machida Zelvia
38%
top pick
Draw
28%
Kashiwa Reysol
34%
result
Final score
2–4
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Kashiwa Reysol win 33.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Machida Zelvia win. Expected goals 1.44–1.25 against 2–4 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.3%), 1–2 (8.8%), 0–1 (8.6%). It finished 2–4.
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Machida Zelvia
| 20 Sept | H | vs Kashiwa Reysol | 2–4 | L |
Kashiwa Reysol
| 20 Sept | A | vs Machida Zelvia | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.