Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers — J1 League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026

J1 League·Saturday, 19 September 2026·09:00

Kawasaki Frontale

3 – 3

Kashima Antlers

Kawasaki FrontaleExpected goalsKashima Antlers
1.52 xG1.44 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 5.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Kawasaki Frontale

36%

Draw

26%

result

Kashima Antlers

38%

top pick

Final score

3–3

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 25.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Kashima Antlers win. Expected goals 1.52–1.44 against 3–3 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals57%6 scored
Both teams score60%yes
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet23%no
Kashima Antlers clean sheet23%no
Kawasaki Frontale score 2+44%yes
Kashima Antlers score 2+43%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1372
1X2 Brier score0.8227
Probability on the result25.9%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.1%), 1–2 (9.8%), 0–1 (7.7%). It finished 3–3.

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Kawasaki Frontale

19 SeptHvs Kashima Antlers3–3D

Kashima Antlers

19 SeptAvs Kawasaki Frontale3–3D

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.