Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds — J1 League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Kashiwa Reysol
vs
07:00
Urawa Red Diamonds
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Kashiwa Reysol
47%
Draw
24%
Urawa Red Diamonds
29%
Expected goals
1.74–1.28
Kashiwa Reysol · Urawa Red Diamonds
Kashiwa Reysol win 47% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.4%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–2 (7.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
Those three cover 28% of outcomes; the other 72% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Kashiwa Reysol win is 2–1 (8.9%).
Kashiwa Reysol score at least twice in 51%; Urawa Red Diamonds in 37%.
Scoreline distribution
Urawa Red Diamonds goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 11.4 | 7.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 8.9 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Kashiwa Reysol goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market reference | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| Metis Forecast | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Kashiwa Reysol
| 20 Sept | A | vs Machida Zelvia | 4–2 | W |
Urawa Red Diamonds
| 19 Sept | H | vs Tokyo Verdy | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.