Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale — J1 League forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kashiwa Reysol
vs
07:00
Kawasaki Frontale
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Kashiwa Reysol
43%
Draw
24%
Kawasaki Frontale
33%
Expected goals
1.70–1.48
Kashiwa Reysol · Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol win 43% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10.9%), 2–1 (9.1%), 1–2 (7.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 64% of simulations.
Those three cover 28% of outcomes; the other 72% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Kashiwa Reysol win is 2–1 (9.1%).
Kashiwa Reysol score at least twice in 51%; Kawasaki Frontale in 43%.
Scoreline distribution
Kawasaki Frontale goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 10.9 | 7.8 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Kashiwa Reysol goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market reference | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Metis Forecast | 43% | 24% | 33% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Kashiwa Reysol
| 20 Sept | A | vs Machida Zelvia | 4–2 | W |
Kawasaki Frontale
| 19 Sept | H | vs Kashima Antlers | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.