Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe — J1 League result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026

J1 League·Sunday, 20 September 2026·08:00

Gamba Osaka

0 – 1

Vissel Kobe

Gamba OsakaExpected goalsVissel Kobe
1.17 xG1.58 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 4.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Gamba Osaka

28%

Draw

28%

Vissel Kobe

45%

pick · result

Final score

0–1

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Vissel Kobe win 44.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Vissel Kobe win. Expected goals 1.17–1.58 against 0–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals52%1 scored
Both teams score56%no
Gamba Osaka clean sheet21%no
Vissel Kobe clean sheet31%yes
Gamba Osaka score 2+33%no
Vissel Kobe score 2+46%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1916
1X2 Brier score0.4593
Probability on the result44.7%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.1%), 1–2 (8.8%), 0–1 (8.6%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.

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Gamba Osaka

20 SeptHvs Vissel Kobe0–1L

Vissel Kobe

20 SeptAvs Gamba Osaka1–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.