FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J1 League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
FC Tokyo
1 – 0
Nagoya Grampus
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
FC Tokyo
57%
pick · result
Draw
22%
Nagoya Grampus
21%
Final score
1–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a FC Tokyo win 56.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a FC Tokyo win. Expected goals 1.94–1.12 against 1–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.3%), 2–1 (10.3%), 2–0 (9.1%). It finished 1–0.
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FC Tokyo
| 19 Sept | H | vs Nagoya Grampus | 1–0 | W |
Nagoya Grampus
| 19 Sept | A | vs FC Tokyo | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.