Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga — J1 League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Fagiano Okayama
1 – 2
Kyoto Sanga
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Fagiano Okayama
52%
top pick
Draw
26%
Kyoto Sanga
22%
result
Final score
1–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Kyoto Sanga win 22.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Fagiano Okayama win. Expected goals 1.64–1.04 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (11.0%), 2–1 (10.4%). It finished 1–2.
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Fagiano Okayama
| 19 Sept | H | vs Kyoto Sanga | 1–2 | L |
Kyoto Sanga
| 19 Sept | A | vs Fagiano Okayama | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.