Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J1 League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026

J1 League·Saturday, 19 September 2026·09:00

Avispa Fukuoka

0 – 1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Avispa FukuokaExpected goalsSanfrecce Hiroshima
0.96 xG1.76 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 5.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Avispa Fukuoka

20%

Draw

23%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

56%

pick · result

Final score

0–1

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 56.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win. Expected goals 0.96–1.76 against 0–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals52%1 scored
Both teams score52%no
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet17%no
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet38%yes
Avispa Fukuoka score 2+25%no
Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2+53%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1155
1X2 Brier score0.2859
Probability on the result56.4%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.2%), 0–1 (11.1%), 0–2 (10.4%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.

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Avispa Fukuoka

19 SeptHvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

19 SeptAvs Avispa Fukuoka1–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.