Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos — Super League Greece forecast, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Volos NFC
11%
Draw
18%
Panathinaikos
72%
Expected goals
0.69–2.09
Volos NFC · Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos win 72% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–2 (14.2%), 0–1 (13.4%), 1–2 (10.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 44% of simulations.
Those three cover 38% of outcomes; the other 62% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Volos NFC score at least twice in 15%; Panathinaikos in 63%.
Scoreline distribution
Panathinaikos goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 13.4 | 14.2 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 1 | 3.6 | 8.3 | 10.2 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| 2 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Volos NFC goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 12% | 22% | 67% |
| Market reference | 11% | 18% | 72% |
| Metis Forecast | 11% | 18% | 72% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Volos NFC | 8.16 |
| Draw | 5.14 |
| Panathinaikos | 1.34 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Oct · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Volos NFC
| 23 Aug | A | vs OFI Crete | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Iraklis | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Olympiakos | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Kalamata | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs AEK | 1–2 | L |
Panathinaikos
| 31 Aug | A | vs Levadeiakos | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs PAOK | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Sept | H | vs Kifisia | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Panetolikos | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Kalamata | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Volos NFC (Home · 3 matches) | Panathinaikos (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 66.7% |
| Avg goals | 2.33 | 1.33 |
Home stats use Volos NFC's home record; away stats use Panathinaikos's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.