Volos NFC vs Olympiakos — Super League Greece result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 5 September 2026

Super League Greece·Saturday, 5 September 2026

1 – 1

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 12.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Volos NFC

7%

Draw

14%

result

Olympiakos

79%

top pick

Final score

1–1

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 14.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Olympiakos win. Expected goals 0.63–2.05 against 1–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals51%2 scored
Both teams score43%yes
Volos NFC clean sheet9%no
Olympiakos clean sheet53%no
Volos NFC score 2+13%no
Olympiakos score 2+64%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.3141
1X2 Brier score1.3611
Probability on the result14.4%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 0–1 (18.0%), 0–2 (16.0%), 1–2 (13.5%). It finished 1–1.

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Volos NFC

23 AugAvs OFI Crete0–2L
29 AugHvs Iraklis1–1D
5 SeptHvs Olympiakos1–1D
13 SeptAvs Kalamata1–3L
20 SeptHvs AEK1–2L

Olympiakos

22 AugHvs Atromitos1–0W
30 AugAvs Asteras Tripolis1–0W
5 SeptAvs Volos NFC1–1D
12 SeptHvs OFI Crete0–1L
20 SeptAvs Levadeiakos1–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatVolos NFC
(Home · 4 matches)
Olympiakos
(Away · 5 matches)
BTTS rate75.0%40.0%
Over 2.5 rate25.0%20.0%
Clean sheet0.0%60.0%
Avg goals2.002.20

Home stats use Volos NFC's home record; away stats use Olympiakos's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.