Volos NFC vs AEK — Super League Greece forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Volos NFC
10%
Draw
18%
AEK
72%
Expected goals
0.68–2.09
Volos NFC · AEK
AEK win 72% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–2 (14.3%), 0–1 (13.6%), 1–2 (10.4%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 44% of simulations.
Those three cover 38% of outcomes; the other 62% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Volos NFC score at least twice in 15%; AEK in 63%.
Scoreline distribution
AEK goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1 | 13.6 | 14.3 | 9.4 | 4.7 | 2.7 |
| 1 | 3.3 | 8.5 | 10.4 | 6.9 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| 2 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Volos NFC goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 12% | 22% | 66% |
| Market reference | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| Metis Forecast | 10% | 18% | 72% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle | Bet365 | William Hill | 1xBet | Betano | Betfair SB | BetVictor | MarathonBet | SBO | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volos NFC | 8.99 | 9.00 | 8.50 | 8.45 | 8.50 | 9.00 | 8.50 | 8.50 | 7.14 | 9.00 Bet365 |
| Draw | 5.17 | 4.75 | 4.75 | 4.85 | 5.10 | 5.00 | 4.75 | 4.85 | 4.25 | 5.17 Pinnacle |
| AEK | 1.34 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.36 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.36 Bet365 |
Reference prices, published with the 23 Sep · 03:58 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Recent form
Volos NFC
| 23 Aug | A | vs OFI Crete | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Iraklis | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Olympiakos | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Kalamata | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs AEK | 1–2 | L |
AEK
| 22 Aug | H | vs Iraklis | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Kifisia | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Aris | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Asteras Tripolis | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Volos NFC | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Volos NFC (Home · 3 matches) | AEK (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.33 | 2.33 |
Home stats use Volos NFC's home record; away stats use AEK's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.