Volos NFC vs AEK — Super League Greece result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Volos NFC
9%
Draw
17%
AEK
74%
pick · result
Final score
1–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave an AEK win 74.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an AEK win. Expected goals 0.66–2.12 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 0–2 (14.7%), 0–1 (14.1%), 1–2 (10.7%). It finished 1–2 — one of them.
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Volos NFC
| 23 Aug | A | vs OFI Crete | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Iraklis | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Olympiakos | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Kalamata | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs AEK | 1–2 | L |
AEK
| 22 Aug | H | vs Iraklis | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Kifisia | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Aris | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Asteras Tripolis | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Volos NFC | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Volos NFC (Home · 4 matches) | AEK (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 2.25 |
Home stats use Volos NFC's home record; away stats use AEK's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.