Panetolikos vs OFI — Super League Greece forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Panetolikos
30%
Draw
35%
OFI
35%
Expected goals
1.15–1.21
Panetolikos · OFI
OFI win 35% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (16.4%), 0–0 (11.7%), 0–1 (10.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 51% of simulations.
Those three cover 38% of outcomes; the other 62% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Panetolikos score at least twice in 31%; OFI in 34%.
Scoreline distribution
OFI goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.7 | 10.2 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 16.4 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Panetolikos goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 39% | 30% | 32% |
| Market reference | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Metis Forecast | 30% | 35% | 35% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Panetolikos | 3.15 |
| Draw | 2.74 |
| OFI | 2.68 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Panetolikos
| 23 Aug | H | vs Asteras Tripolis | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Kalamata | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Levadeiakos | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Panathinaikos | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs PAOK | 1–3 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Panetolikos (Home · 4 matches) | OFI (Away · no matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | — |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | — |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | — |
Home stats use Panetolikos's home record; away stats use OFI's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.