Olympiakos vs OFI Crete — Super League Greece result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 132.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Olympiakos
82%
top pick
Draw
12%
OFI Crete
6%
result
Final score
0–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave an OFI Crete win 6.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Olympiakos win. Expected goals 2.30–0.60 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (16.1%), 1–0 (14.9%), 2–1 (11.5%). It finished 0–1.
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Olympiakos
| 22 Aug | H | vs Atromitos | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Asteras Tripolis | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Volos NFC | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs OFI Crete | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Levadeiakos | 1–0 | W |
OFI Crete
| 23 Aug | H | vs Volos NFC | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Aris | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Kifisia | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Olympiakos | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Asteras Tripolis | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Olympiakos (Home · 4 matches) | OFI Crete (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 0.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 25.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 75.0% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Olympiakos's home record; away stats use OFI Crete's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.