Levadeiakos vs Panetolikos — Super League Greece result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 1.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Levadeiakos
51%
top pick
Draw
28%
Panetolikos
21%
result
Final score
0–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Panetolikos win 21.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Levadeiakos win. Expected goals 1.59–1.00 against 0–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.3%), 1–0 (11.3%), 2–1 (10.0%). It finished 0–2.
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Levadeiakos
| 23 Aug | A | vs PAOK | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Panathinaikos | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Panetolikos | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Kifisia | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Olympiakos | 0–1 | L |
Panetolikos
| 23 Aug | H | vs Asteras Tripolis | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Kalamata | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Levadeiakos | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Panathinaikos | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs PAOK | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Levadeiakos (Home · 5 matches) | Panetolikos (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 20.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.60 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Levadeiakos's home record; away stats use Panetolikos's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.