Levadeiakos vs Panathinaikos — Super League Greece result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 31 August 2026

Super League Greece·Monday, 31 August 2026

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 13.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Levadeiakos

17%

Draw

24%

Panathinaikos

59%

pick · result

Final score

0–2

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Panathinaikos win 59.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Panathinaikos win. Expected goals 0.93–1.64 against 0–2 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals48%2 scored
Both teams score51%no
Levadeiakos clean sheet17%no
Panathinaikos clean sheet40%yes
Levadeiakos score 2+23%no
Panathinaikos score 2+51%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.0967
1X2 Brier score0.2493
Probability on the result59.4%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 0–1 (15.0%), 1–2 (13.2%), 1–1 (11.3%). It finished 0–2.

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Levadeiakos

23 AugAvs PAOK0–4L
31 AugHvs Panathinaikos0–2L
6 SeptHvs Panetolikos0–2L
13 SeptAvs Kifisia0–0D
20 SeptHvs Olympiakos0–1L

Panathinaikos

31 AugAvs Levadeiakos2–0W
6 SeptHvs PAOK3–1W
10 SeptHvs Kifisia3–1W
13 SeptHvs Panetolikos3–0W
20 SeptAvs Kalamata1–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatLevadeiakos
(Home · 3 matches)
Panathinaikos
(Away · 2 matches)
BTTS rate0.0%0.0%
Over 2.5 rate0.0%0.0%
Clean sheet0.0%100.0%
Avg goals1.671.50

Home stats use Levadeiakos's home record; away stats use Panathinaikos's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.