🇬🇷 Super League Greece·Monday, 31 August 2026·16:30
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Levadeiakos | 4.82 | 4.82 |
| Draw | 3.73 | 3.73 |
| Panathinaikos | 1.71 | 1.71 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketLevadeiakos
18%
Draw
23%
Panathinaikos
59%
Levadeiakos 0.93 xGexpected goals1.63 xG Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos win 59% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 51% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14.9%).
Levadeiakos score at least twice in 23%; Panathinaikos in 50%.
0–1 14.9%1–2 12.9%1–1 11.2%0–2 10.7%0–0 7.4%1–3 5.6%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 14.9 | 10.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 4.8 | 11.2 | 12.9 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Levadeiakos goals · columns = Panathinaikos goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score51%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Levadeiakos clean sheet17%
Panathinaikos clean sheet40%
Levadeiakos score 2+23%
Panathinaikos score 2+50%
Levadeiakos score 3+7%
Model vs market
| Source | Levadeiakos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 18% | 23% | 59% |
| Metis Forecast | 18% | 23% | 59% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Levadeiakos
| 25 Aug | H | vs Kifisia | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Panathinaikos | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sept | H | vs AEK | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sept | H | vs OFI Crete | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Sept | A | vs Olympiakos | 2–3 | L |
Panathinaikos
| 31 Aug | H | vs Levadeiakos | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Kifisia | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Sept | H | vs Olympiakos | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sept | A | vs Panetolikos | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Oct | H | vs Atromitos | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 8 Mar 26 | LevadeiakosvsPanathinaikos | 1 – 4 |
| 31 Aug 25 | PanathinaikosvsLevadeiakos | 1 – 1 |
Levadeiakos: 0W 1D 1L in last 2
Model context
| Stat | Levadeiakos (Home) | Panathinaikos (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 62.5% | 43.8% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 68.8% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 31.2% | 31.2% |
| Avg goals | 3.81 | 2.44 |
Home stats use Levadeiakos's home record; away stats use Panathinaikos's away record this season.