Levadeiakos vs Aris — Super League Greece forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Levadeiakos
40%
Draw
29%
Aris
31%
Expected goals
1.31–1.11
Levadeiakos · Aris
Levadeiakos win 40% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (14.0%), 1–0 (10.6%), 0–0 (10.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Levadeiakos score at least twice in 38%; Aris in 30%.
Scoreline distribution
Aris goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 14.0 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Levadeiakos goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Levadeiakos | 3.93 |
| Draw | 3.29 |
| Aris | 100.00 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Levadeiakos
| 23 Aug | A | vs PAOK | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Panathinaikos | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Panetolikos | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Kifisia | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Olympiakos | 0–1 | L |
Aris
| 22 Aug | A | vs Kalamata | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs OFI Crete | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs AEK | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs PAOK | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Iraklis | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Levadeiakos (Home · 4 matches) | Aris (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 0.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.25 | 3.75 |
Home stats use Levadeiakos's home record; away stats use Aris's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.