Kifisia vs AEK — Super League Greece result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Kifisia
9%
Draw
17%
result
AEK
74%
top pick
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 17.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an AEK win. Expected goals 0.72–1.94 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 0–1 (17.2%), 0–2 (14.3%), 1–2 (14.0%). It finished 1–1.
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Kifisia
| 30 Aug | H | vs AEK | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sept | A | vs OFI Crete | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Sept | A | vs Panathinaikos | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Levadeiakos | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Atromitos | 2–1 | W |
AEK
| 22 Aug | H | vs Iraklis | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Kifisia | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Aris | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Asteras Tripolis | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Volos NFC | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Kifisia (Home · 2 matches) | AEK (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.00 | 2.33 |
Home stats use Kifisia's home record; away stats use AEK's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.