Atromitos vs Volos NFC — Super League Greece forecast, Monday, 2 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Atromitos
54%
Draw
25%
Volos NFC
22%
Expected goals
1.48–0.87
Atromitos · Volos NFC
Atromitos win 54% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14.8%), 1–1 (11.5%), 2–0 (11.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 45% of simulations.
Those three cover 37% of outcomes; the other 63% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Atromitos score at least twice in 44%; Volos NFC in 22%.
Scoreline distribution
Volos NFC goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.8 | 11.5 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.0 | 10.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Atromitos goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market reference | 54% | 25% | 22% |
| Metis Forecast | 54% | 25% | 22% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Atromitos | 1.79 |
| Draw | 3.77 |
| Volos NFC | 4.25 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Atromitos
| 22 Aug | A | vs Olympiakos | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs PAOK | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Kalamata | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Iraklis | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Kifisia | 1–2 | L |
Volos NFC
| 23 Aug | A | vs OFI Crete | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Iraklis | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Olympiakos | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Kalamata | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs AEK | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Atromitos (Home · 3 matches) | Volos NFC (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | 2.75 |
Home stats use Atromitos's home record; away stats use Volos NFC's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.