Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos — Super League Greece result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Asteras Tripolis
10%
Draw
20%
Olympiakos
71%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Olympiakos win 70.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Olympiakos win. Expected goals 0.71–1.92 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 0–1 (16.0%), 0–2 (14.0%), 1–2 (12.4%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.
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Asteras Tripolis
| 23 Aug | A | vs Panetolikos | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Olympiakos | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Iraklis | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs AEK | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs OFI Crete | 2–2 | D |
Olympiakos
| 22 Aug | H | vs Atromitos | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Asteras Tripolis | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Volos NFC | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs OFI Crete | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Levadeiakos | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Asteras Tripolis (Home · 3 matches) | Olympiakos (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 66.7% |
| Avg goals | 1.67 | 1.33 |
Home stats use Asteras Tripolis's home record; away stats use Olympiakos's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.