Feyenoord vs Utrecht — Eredivisie result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 1.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Feyenoord
76%
pick · result
Draw
15%
Utrecht
10%
Final score
5–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Feyenoord win 75.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Feyenoord win. Expected goals 2.57–0.92 against 5–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (10.7%), 2–0 (10.7%), 3–1 (8.6%). It finished 5–0.
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Feyenoord
| 9 Aug | A | vs Sparta Rotterdam | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Go Ahead Eagles | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Cambuur | 5–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Den Haag | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sept | A | vs NEC | 3–1 | W |
Utrecht
| 9 Aug | A | vs Groningen | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs AZ | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Sparta Rotterdam | 3–3 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | vs PSV | 1–6 | L |
| 8 Sept | H | vs Go Ahead Eagles | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Feyenoord (Home · 5 matches) | Utrecht (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.40 | 4.33 |
Home stats use Feyenoord's home record; away stats use Utrecht's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.